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Great Games Today! Arizona Vs. San Diego State


Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Confidence...

If you are not a college basketball fan, then watch any of the games today and you will be.  I think that today, Arizona and San Diego State is going to be a great game. Neither team advanced past the Sweet 16 last year. One team will not advance this year.

Even though San Diego State is a great team, earning a record of 31-4, Arizona has too much confidence to lose.

Here is why Arizona will win today: Arizona, the top-seed (32-4) has been their three years out of four.  They are a better team than last year and have a lot of confidence with a great following and avid fans. The fans will show up to support Arizona, even if it is in SDSU's back yard. This home court advantage idea is moot.

Earlier in the year, Arizona beat SDSU on the road.  That game was mostly handled by the Wildcats whom fought and withstood a late rally by the Aztecs. This is a strike against SDSU and their confidence going into the game tonight.

Fisher knows how well Arizona plays defense and is an unselfish team.  This worries him, and should.  They have compiled a winning strategy by gaining confidence after the last game they played against SDSU with Nick Johnson getting 23 points and Aaron Gordon adding 16 for Arizona.

After the game they played last November, Arizona was ranked No. 1 for eight weeks and won 20 consecutive games.....Confidence!

For 5 years, Sean Miller has built that program and needs the Final Four on his resume'. He needs this desperately, for himself, the program and his future. Fisher has "been there done that" is not as desperate for the win.

San Diego State's modest basketball resume' includes never advancing beyond the Sweet 16; the school didn't even win an NCAA tournament game in its first 40 seasons playing Division I ball.

This eludes to a possible lack of confidence......

Both teams are great defenders, Arizona's stats are better.  The Wildcats lead the nation in defense efficiency. (allowed 87 points / 100 possessions)

The best defense bodes well for confidence.

The Aztecs will struggle taking care of the ball.

The Key: Nick Johnson is a sophomore.  The Pac-12 Player of the Year has a ton of talent but above all, he is too young to really realize how big this game is...He has so much confidence, his confidence is going to be the difference in tonight's game.


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